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Bitcoin Weekly Report

Decemb​er 8, 2021

Since 2017, and especially this past year, the popularity of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies has surged, bringing the topic and debate over validity and uses into the finance, business, and media spotlight. Cryptocurrencies are virtual currencies with no physical form that operate on a peer-to-peer basis without a central authority such as the Federal Reserve. They are digital in that unlike the US dollar, they have no physical form and do not have a central repository.

Cryptocurrencies and the technology behind them such as blockchain are not one and the same. Blockchain is a chronological chain of records that are linked together and protected by cryptography and then shared with everyone involved in the process—essentially a public spreadsheet. This technology can potentially have many viable applications outside of cryptocurrencies, including payment verification, securities clearing and settlement, and supply chain management. We have already seen Bitcoin’s adoption in various payment platforms with companies announcing their intention to accept cryptocurrency as a viable payment method in the future.

A new currency, a new type of gold, or a speculative fad? People value and define cryptocurrencies in different ways. Regardless of classification, cryptocurrencies remain an experimental concept that is not  regulated or backed by any central bank worldwide and has no tangible intrinsic value. Regulatory concerns around cryptocurrencies will remain in focus and will need to be sorted out over the coming years. Amid the concerns are anti-money laundering (AML) issues due to the anonymous nature of cryptocurrencies. Real issues and challenges exist around cryptocurrencies including governance, transparency, exchangeability, anonymity, volatility, fraud, manipulation, and hacking. 

This publication will focus on Bitcoin, which is currently the largest and most popular cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin is a digital cryptocurrency that allows users to make peer-to-peer transactions without the use of a trusted third party by using algorithms to verify transactions and utilizes blockchain technology. It is decentralized, meaning there is no one server, organization, or computer that “runs Bitcoin.” 

While the future of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies remains to be seen, the concept and technology behind them may influence innovation going forward. Bitcoin has already gained significant traction in institutional adoption and a rapidly growing market capitalization, exceeding many S&P 500 companies and country money supplies. 


What Are Cryptocurrencies?     
Cryptocurrencies are virtual currencies with no physical form that operate on a peer-to-peer basis without a central authority such as the Federal Reserve. They are digital in that unlike the US dollar, they have no physical form and do not have a central repository. The decentralized nature of cryptocurrencies requires computers to use cryptography, computerized encoding and decoding of information, to verify transactions and attempt to prevent counterfeiting.

Unlike traditional currencies, which use a trusted third party such as a credit card company or bank to verify that the funds are available to complete a transaction, cryptocurrencies rely on a network of computers to confirm the transaction and that the spender has the coins to transfer. When a transaction is initiated, it is broadcast to the network where it awaits verification from computers that solve an algorithm to determine if the transaction is legitimate. 

This presentation focuses on Bitcoin1, the largest cryptocurrency, though more than 1,000 others exist. Some could be classified more as currencies; some more as equities; and others somewhere in between. How Are Cryptocurrencies Created and Funded? 


How Are Cryptocurrencies Created and Funded?  

Initial Coin Offering  Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) occur when new coins or tokens are sold to the public to fund a project in what is called a crowdsale. Early backers hope that the coin will be successful and rise in value 
Treasury System  A Treasury system distributes newly into coins (inflation)  to developers, marketers, or other organizations that submit proposals
Certain Treasury systems hold a vote among certain large stakeholders to decide which submitted initiatives should be funded 
Forking A “Fork” occurs when developers create a copy of the existing blockchain and code, make adjustments, and release the new cryptocurrency. Before they allow others to use the network, they create enough coins for themselves to fund development

This recently happened when Bitcoin developers disagreed on the size of each block on the blockchain, resulting in a new cryptocurrency with larger blocks
Yield Farming / Liquidity Mining  Yield      Farming (also known as Liquidity Mining) is the act of providing liquidity through cryptocurrencies to decentralized exchanges (DEXs)

DEXs    look to reward users who bring capital to their platform by providing a “yield” (rate of return).

Yield    Farmers” look for the greatest return in various “liquidity pools,” which consists of tokens.

Platforms bring about “token swapping”, incentivizing with increasing yield and governance rights 
Donations Somecryptocurrencies (like Bitcoin) rely on donations (both monetary and programming time) from users to continue to evolve their ecosystem 

These top 5 cryptocurrencies account for ~85% of the market cap of all Cryptocurrencies 
1.     Bitcoin - $954.7B – The first, and most liquid cryptocurrency with the largest market capitalization. Primarily used as a store of value and for making censorship-resistant payments. Many advocates market Bitcoin as Digital Gold because of the low growth in supply.

2.     Ethereum - $187.1B – The second most liquid cryptocurrency. The Ethereum network is a decentralized cloud- based software that creates a virtual computer that allows third parties to create applications (called smart contracts) that run on the “computer.” These application developers use Ether, the currency of the network, to pay the network for the processing power and data storage their applications require.

3.     Tether - $35.9B – Tether is a token that represents one US dollar. As the leading “stablecoin,” tether generally has very little volatility, though it has ranged between $0.92 and $1.06 since 2017. The company behind Tether, Bitfinix, a cryptocurrency exchange, claims it has $1 in bank accounts for each unit of tether.

4.   Polkadot – $34.3B – Polkadot is a heterogeneous multi-chain interchange network, meaning it can process many transactions on several chains in parallel "parachains." This allows for interoperability with any data or asset type, not just tokens, to establish a decentralized and private web controlled by its users. The network is secured by a highly sophisticated user-driven governance system. 

What Is Bitcoin?        
Bitcoin is a digital cryptocurrency that allows users to make peer-to-peer transactions without the use of a trusted third party by using algorithms to verify transactions.
Bitcoin was invented in 2009 by Satoshi Nakamoto, an anonymous person or organization. There is a fixed amount of 21 million bitcoins that can be created. Close to 18.6 million have been mined so far. The design is public; no one person/group owns or controls Bitcoin, and anyone can participate. It is decentralized, meaning there is no one server, organization, or computer that “runs Bitcoin.” Rather, different stakeholders control different aspects of Bitcoin

The Bitcoin network includes two main components:
The actual currency, bitcoin and the technology behind the transaction verification, the blockchain


Sprinting Toward a Regulatory Framework for Crypto Assets   
Policymakers are progressing toward a regulatory framework for crypto-related banking services faster than we previously thought. Expect further regulatory clarity on a broad range of potential crypto-related services throughout 2022, which could be a positive for Coinfield.

Regulators are on the fast track toward developing a framework for the crypto banks.     
The Federal Reserve, FDIC, and OCC issued a joint statement on Tuesday outlining what they call a 'policy sprint' to create a regulatory framework for banks to potentially offer crypto-related services. We view this statement as a positive for the crypto banks because it underscores policymakers' commitment to creating a regulatory framework around crypto assets, helping to promote increased adoption across the industry. The joint statement would suggest that investors and management teams could expect much more clarity on crypto regulations for the banks in 2022. 

CoinField is a cryptoasset exchange located in Canada. Their volume over the last 24 hours is $33.84M. They have 76 markets, with the most popular markets (trading pairs) being ETH/USD, BTC/USD, and ETH/USDT. The exchange is rated “A” which means “Transparent.” Out of 531 exchanges, they are ranked #142 by transparency and volume. CoinField accounts for <1% total volume in the cryptosphere indexed by us. They've executed 34,304 trades over the last day, which accounts for 100% of trades indexed by our platform. They allow trading with the following fiat currencies: AED, CAD, EUR, GBP, JPY, and USD. 

What does this mean for the crypto banking industry?    
Investors and management teams should expect increased clarity throughout 2022 addressing how a broad range of crypto-related services are going to be regulated within the banking industry. While we already knew that regulators were working on creating a regulatory framework for banks to potentially offer crypto-related services, this statement underscored regulators' sense of urgency on the task, which we believe is a positive for getting a working framework in place sooner rather than later. We believe that well-crafted regulation will help to promote the adoption of crypto-assets and their related services, which is ultimately a positive for the crypto banks (specifically Silvergate and Signature within our coverage). The primary risk, in our view, is that policymakers move too quickly and implement measures that inadvertently inhibit adoption of cryptocurrencies. We would also note that the statement did not explicitly say what types of crypto-related services would or would not be allowed to be performed by banks. While not our base case, regulators could still in theory adopt a highly restrictive stance on crypto-related services (or prohibit them altogether) that severely inhibit their growth. This would clearly be a negative for the crypto banks, but we view it as a low probability event. Instead, we would like to believe that policymakers will take a more balanced approach to regulation that ultimately promotes increased adoption of crypto assets. While the final regulatory framework for crypto-related services is still yet to take shape, it appears that policymakers are progressing there faster than we previously thought.